How quick/strong do you think Fernando is going to be at his age especially coming back after 2 years out?

Not sure what he has been smoking but my brother reckons Ocon will beat him!
His main reason for thinking that.. is how much Michael struggled on his comeback with Merc to beat Nico and largely failed.
Also... Ocon will have a fresh season under his belt after a 2 year hiatus while Fernando is starting afresh.

Just cant see it. Personally I still think Fernando will easily outperform him.

Predictions?