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Thread: Rally Sweden 14-17 FEB 2019
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18th February 2019, 21:20 #11
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At this stage of the season drivers championship points are completely meaningless. It takes only 2 gravel rallies to neutralize point difference difference between Tänak and Ogier (if we assume equal performance level). At that point of season Ogier or Tänak could have zero points and to have equal chance for championship than if other would have 47 points. Big road position advantage in 8-10 rallies equals 47 points.
WRC should change point system because current level of competition is so tight that articial intervention to competition is not needed.
When you are third on the road you loose to the leader at least 30 seconds in rally distance on average gravel rally.
When you are second you loose around 20 seconds given similar performance.
So basically during a season Tänak looses to Ogier 30 + 30 + 30 + 30 + 20 +20 + 20 + 20. Maybe in 1-3 rallies conditions will be neutral or bit other way around due to rain or special conditions.
This means that given equal performance Ogier should win Tänak 6-2 in remaining rallies. You can do math whether this advantage is more than their current difference in points.Last edited by Finne; 18th February 2019 at 21:25.
Yes, I suppose it could be that simple. Evans is a bit the reverse, he didn’t seem to gel with the hybrid car, but looks back to his pre-hybrid level now its gone. Only Kalle knows if he is motivated...
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