Quote Originally Posted by N4D13 View Post
http://www.motorsportforums.com/show...=1#post1108798 and the one two posts below.
Oh yes, I had meant to get back to that post and forgot. A 22.7% chance is too unlikely for it to be coincidence.

Plus you haven't taken into account the probability of all these happening at critical points in the weekend where they can inflict point scoring damage. For example, Nico lost 3 points on reliability. Hamilton lost at least 40 I think it would be fair to say, and that's being conservative.

Nico had some issues in Free practices, never in a race or critical juncture of a weekend where it cost him points barring Silverstone. Factor that into your math!