Since we are trying to predict:
I think that Ogier will go to the one who will offer more €€ and has a winning car.
It means Toyota is out of the equation cause even if tommi will do a good job this year they will not win. Also M-Sport is out since they have not money.

I see Hyundai advantaged but would not be surprised for a return of Seb in a french team. The past is past...