Quote Originally Posted by Mirek View Post
There was an area in Moravia (close to Barum rally area) which was under total lockdown for some time due to a very large number of uncontrollable contacts with infected persons (which probably ignored traveler quarantine). This total lockdown was now lifted because the officials claim the infected and their contacts are now being tracked. Why I'm writing this is that they will do a 100% testing of all people in the area in next few days.

Also a 5000 thousand random sample of people with no symptoms will be tested next week in Prague to see the percentage of infected among the seamingly healthy population. I will give You the results when they are published.

By the way according to the statistical models used by our health ministry the R0 number at the beginning of the epidemy here without any social distancing measures was 2,64. They claim that at the moment it is down to roughly 1,1-1,3. Of course it's developing situation so the number have to be taken with a grain of salt.
1.1 is basically very, very good result. Some call it almost ideal. So, keeping the contacts minimal, virus is moving in closed "system" (family, etc.) and at some point, due to the "lack of clients" its starts to disappear. I would be very interested to hear about these stats. We have Saaremaa Island, at the moment, proved cases are nearly 90 cases per 10 000 people. And they are not testing everyone and if virus is running in family, these are not taken into account. realistically, it means that almost every 100th person has virus. And if we read studdies that 15-20 % cases are normally discovered, we can say that at least every 20th person in the island has or has had virus. that means, in every bus you have 2, in every ferry you have 10 etc. They have similar plan there as well that maybe in the future they do some test to see who has resistance for the virus.