Anything worse than 5th place (or pace around it) would be a big disappointment from Paddon after he was 4th in "worse" car last year.

That said we don't know how fast Fiesta will be relative to the others, judging by Sweden it should be fast.

I also don't think Paddon is likely going to beat Suninen, but Evans should be possible.

Same as people here as well as C. Clark this is no direct competition between Paddon and Breen.
Paddon has to show he still has speed/has it in other car than i20.
Breen has to secure good teampoints or act as a reliable backup for the others if he is slower.