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  1. #191
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    Quote Originally Posted by seb_sh View Post
    Obviously Toyota, Peugeot, Ferrari, Cadillac, Porsche and next year Lamborghini, BMW and Alpine are all wrong. :P
    No one is watching. Then they will leave in 2 or 3 years JUST LIKE they did in Formula-E, u'know?
    So, its just a spike that will brake everybody and everything.... like the "used to be great" LMP2 class. They reduced the engine power.... and now they will end the class participation in the championship. Im not saying manufacturers are wrong, but - as I said - its waves. And these waves destroy everything. The high focus on these TOP Expensive stuff is ruinning motorsport IMO. Rallycross had a fun BOOM too, look at it now! Remember WTCC? Where is it today?
    Idk... I just hope WRC dont go on that route, doing ANYTHING for 4 months of news about MANUFACTURERS JOINING... cuz they leave...

  2. #192
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    The problem most manufacturers have with joining WRC is that there is so little to gain in today’s atmosphere. I feel even with Toyota dominating WRC the last few years they have gotten very little out of that – luckily Toyota has a motorsport guy at the helm so he will keep them involved regardless. Hyundai has gotten even less (manufacturer champion, does anyone remember?), and now with ex-circuit racing guy leading them I do wonder if they stay for long. If the Red Bull-Ford tie in happens in F1 from 2026 there is even less reason for Ford to be involved in rallying, unless it is a “Malcolm Wilson Special” kind of deal. Renault and Opel (Stellantis) have showed interest but only in electrical rallying. Chinese might come or might not.

    It is useless to compare to F1 as the customer element is not really there is true sense, unlike it is in for example WRC and GT’s/WEC. The players who have stayed the longest in motorsport in general are not just factory teams build as marketing effort and/or for showcasing a new technology. They are the ones who have managed to make the customer side a business in itself.

    Look at how long M-Sport has managed to hang in there, for years without proper factory support and/or sponsors. It is the strength of their customer side that has given them the backbone. Same with Porsche in GT’s/WEC – even their brand new LMDh program is already a success as a customer business – like basically every single program Porsche has even run in circuit racing (with few exceptions).

    The current massive growth of WEC is not sustainable, like it was not in WRC some 20 years ago. The main reason is that most of the players will not manage, or even try to, make it a successful customer game. Porsche will, probably Lamborghini will as well (they are not even coming in to WEC with factory team, it is customer team(s) with factory support). Some others might as well. Toyota and Peugeot probably won’t. At least two efforts are now in WEC (Ferrari, Alpine 2024) because of F1 cost cap and the companies not wanting to lay off a sizable part of their racing division…not really the strongest base to build a long-term programme.

    Current Rally1 cars are simply too expensive to make the customer game work, same as the WRC 2017’s were. Only millionaires (or billionaires) are able to buy/rent them, basically. Just ask Malcolm how many Fiesta WRC’s or Puma Rally1’s he has sold. Personally I don’t even like the current cars much, they are too small and too “hot-hatchy” (esp. Toyota/Hyundai) – I much preferred the 1997-2010 WRC’s compared to 2011-2016 WRC’s.

    So what is the solution – Rally2+ ? It might serve as a solution especially as the “usual suspects” who would likely join (Citroën and Skoda) have a pretty strong customer-oriented base for their rallying. They would join top level with the backbone already in place. But then…the more players you get on the field, the less chance each of them has for winning, without a spending war. There are “solutions” to that as well, but would WRC like to go down that route…I am of course talking about Balance of Performance (BoP).

    WEC has been BoP’d for years already. I personally hope WRC does not because a BoP game as well, although there of course are very good arguments to why it should – it is very difficult to lay out a rules framework where you at the same time keep costs in (relative) check, while at the same time making sure someone is not completely locked out from the fight for the win because they locked in a bad design.

    There is a need for balancing, yet I have never seen BoP done right – and can it even be done? When you win when BoP is in place, do you win because of it or regardless of it? In WEC almost all competitiveness arguments always circle around BoP, the winner boasting that they won even with the current BoP, with the loser complaining that they have no chance with the BoP as it is. A cost cap is maybe better option, but not without it's problems (managing the cost cap costs money, just check how many administrative professionals F1 teams have now hired) - also with rallying you have to have a pretty low cost cap for it to work.

    So a WRC with BoP and/or cost cap might lure some new players to the game, even if there is not “cutting edge hydrogen” whatnot in the rules on offer. But would they come to play and maybe win, or stay in the long game making the customer side a business and thus having the backbone even during (possibly multiple) lean years to say to the board: “Yeah we might not be winning now but we are still business wise on good track.”

    My personal guess is that from 2025 we will see maximum 3 manufacturers in WRC. Small chance that 1 player would be new and one current would leave. Rules will be Rally1 based for 3 years (2025-2027), not 100% electric, not hydrogen. For 2028 a completely new rules framework will be in play, then some new players will join – new energies (plural) will be involved.

  3. Likes: AndyRAC (26th January 2023)
  4. #193
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    Quote Originally Posted by [WRCRR] View Post
    Current Rally1 cars are simply too expensive to make the customer game work, same as the WRC 2017’s were. Only millionaires (or billionaires) are able to buy/rent them, basically. Just ask Malcolm how many Fiesta WRC’s or Puma Rally1’s he has sold.
    You're not incorrect, but do you think NASA cancelled the space shuttle program because they didn't sell any?

    On BoP, why is it necessary again? Current Rally1s have the same size engine with the same hybrid unit, all weighing the same with wearing the same tyre manufacturer's rubber and the same fuel. Times are seconds apart.

  5. #194
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    If they want(seems not) any new manus, they should put the new regulations out this year, otherwise new teams don't have enough time to build and develop the car..

  6. Likes: TWRC (14th January 2023)
  7. #195
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    Quote Originally Posted by [WRCRR] View Post
    The problem most manufacturers have with joining WRC is that there is so little to gain in today’s atmosphere. I feel even with Toyota dominating WRC the last few years they have gotten very little out of that – luckily Toyota has a motorsport guy at the helm so he will keep them involved regardless. Hyundai has gotten even less (manufacturer champion, does anyone remember?), and now with ex-circuit racing guy leading them I do wonder if they stay for long. If the Red Bull-Ford tie in happens in F1 from 2026 there is even less reason for Ford to be involved in rallying, unless it is a “Malcolm Wilson Special” kind of deal. Renault and Opel (Stellantis) have showed interest but only in electrical rallying. Chinese might come or might not.

    It is useless to compare to F1 as the customer element is not really there is true sense, unlike it is in for example WRC and GT’s/WEC. The players who have stayed the longest in motorsport in general are not just factory teams build as marketing effort and/or for showcasing a new technology. They are the ones who have managed to make the customer side a business in itself.

    Look at how long M-Sport has managed to hang in there, for years without proper factory support and/or sponsors. It is the strength of their customer side that has given them the backbone. Same with Porsche in GT’s/WEC – even their brand new LMDh program is already a success as a customer business – like basically every single program Porsche has even run in circuit racing (with few exceptions).

    The current massive growth of WEC is not sustainable, like it was not in WRC some 20 years ago. The main reason is that most of the players will not manage, or even try to, make it a successful customer game. Porsche will, probably Lamborghini will as well (they are not even coming in to WEC with factory team, it is customer team(s) with factory support). Some others might as well. Toyota and Peugeot probably won’t. At least two efforts are now in WEC (Ferrari, Alpine 2024) because of F1 cost cap and the companies not wanting to lay off a sizable part of their racing division…not really the strongest base to build a long-term programme.

    Current Rally1 cars are simply too expensive to make the customer game work, same as the WRC 2017’s were. Only millionaires (or billionaires) are able to buy/rent them, basically. Just ask Malcolm how many Fiesta WRC’s or Puma Rally1’s he has sold. Personally I don’t even like the current cars much, they are too small and too “hot-hatchy” (esp. Toyota/Hyundai) – I much preferred the 1997-2010 WRC’s compared to 2011-2016 WRC’s.

    So what is the solution – Rally2+ ? It might serve as a solution especially as the “usual suspects” who would likely join (Citroën and Skoda) have a pretty strong customer-oriented base for their rallying. They would join top level with the backbone already in place. But then…the more players you get on the field, the less chance each of them has for winning, without a spending war. There are “solutions” to that as well, but would WRC like to go down that route…I am of course talking about Balance of Performance (BoP).

    WEC has been BoP’d for years already. I personally hope WRC does not because a BoP game as well, although there of course are very good arguments to why it should – it is very difficult to lay out a rules framework where you at the same time keep costs in (relative) check, while at the same time making sure someone is not completely locked out from the fight for the win because they locked in a bad design.

    There is a need for balancing, yet I have never seen BoP done right – and can it even be done? When you win when BoP is in place, do you win because of it or regardless of it? In WEC almost all competitiveness arguments always circle around BoP, the winner boasting that they won even with the current BoP, with the loser complaining that they have no chance with the BoP as it is. A cost cap is maybe better option, but not without it's problems (managing the cost cap costs money, just check how many administrative professionals F1 teams have now hired) - also with rallying you have to have a pretty low cost cap for it to work.

    So a WRC with BoP and/or cost cap might lure some new players to the game, even if there is not “cutting edge hydrogen” whatnot in the rules on offer. But would they come to play and maybe win, or stay in the long game making the customer side a business and thus having the backbone even during (possibly multiple) lean years to say to the board: “Yeah we might not be winning now but we are still business wise on good track.”

    My personal guess is that from 2025 we will see maximum 3 manufacturers in WRC. Small chance that 1 player would be new and one current would leave. Rules will be Rally1 based for 3 years (2025-2027), not 100% electric, not hydrogen. For 2028 a completely new rules framework will be in play, then some new players will join – new energies (plural) will be involved.
    rally1 is not for race customers, there's rally2 for this. rally1 is battlefield for the few manus that want to invest. rally2+ is basically a copy of the current rally2 concept. only customer brand will join, and not with factory team. rally1 manu will leave, or have customer racing dept.

    bop will be needed only if fia will liberalize propulsion (hy, electric, hydrogen,...)

  8. #196
    Senior Member Eli's Avatar
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    https://www.autosport.com/wrc/news/w...ands/10424118/

    New rules for 2025 should be introduced in two months. They're also pretty confident another manufacturer will join.
    Only you know your true potential.
    This year we rally #ForCraig

  9. #197
    Senior Member Rallyest's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eli View Post
    https://www.autosport.com/wrc/news/w...ands/10424118/

    New rules for 2025 should be introduced in two months. They're also pretty confident another manufacturer will join.
    They were pretty confident before the Hybrid regulations that a new manufacturer will join, sooooo would not be so sure about that

  10. Likes: AndyRAC (24th January 2023),Eli (24th January 2023),lancia037 (26th January 2023),steve.mandzij (24th January 2023),TWRC (24th January 2023)
  11. #198
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    https://www.motorsportmagazine.com/a...v=fa868488740a

    Interesting interview with Millener about opening up the championship to independent teams/constructors to combat the waning interest of car manufacturers.

    In my opinion a F1 style approach where you are not dependent on manufacturers would be perfect, but WRC isn't a business like F1 is, so how could this work commercially?

  12. Likes: er88 (25th January 2023),EstWRC (24th January 2023),flat_right (24th January 2023),steve.mandzij (25th January 2023)
  13. #199
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    Quote Originally Posted by becher View Post

    Interesting interview with Millener about opening up the championship to independent teams/constructors to combat the waning interest of car manufacturers.
    This would be the best, for sure would help create a customer program too. Also as I said in another thread, there is need to loosen or at least change powertrain rules. No one will join WRC when they need to develop an expensive brand new purpose-made engine that cannot be used in any other series or road car and is almost the most expensive part of Rally1. No matter if there is hybrid or not.

  14. Likes: steve.mandzij (25th January 2023)
  15. #200
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eli View Post
    https://www.autosport.com/wrc/news/w...ands/10424118/
    New rules for 2025 should be introduced in two months. They're also pretty confident another manufacturer will join.
    Doubt.... But both FIA and WRC know that Toyota wants hybrid, Renault wants electric, Stellantis wants hybrid... Work with that cuz it sounds interesting and "it looks like a Rally2+ thing"

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