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Thread: WRC Testing
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21st September 2018, 16:27 #8901
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I am not saying that the forecast will be off by a degree or two. I'm saying that you're better off tossing a coin to predict the weather if you're looking so far into the future.
Here's why:
After 3 days it is normally very difficult to handle all variables that affect weather in a proper way. You can check in a spaghetti map, the forecast from different weather models. This will indicate how far these forecasts are from each other. The further they are the "unforecastable" is the weather. Check these images: the first one a prediction for today and the second one the prediction for 5 days in advance
Now Imagine what it would look like 13 days in advance.
Feel free to play around with the model here:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topk...=0&tr=6#maprefLast edited by Timmy; 21st September 2018 at 17:47. Reason: Fixed the images.
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21st September 2018, 16:40 #8902
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21st September 2018, 16:54 #8903
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24th September 2018, 16:25 #8904
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Mikkelsen testing for Wales
https://twitter.com/LancelottPhoto/s...29833549463554
https://twitter.com/RallyingUK/statu...76509546713088Last edited by dimviii; 24th September 2018 at 16:29.
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24th September 2018, 16:46 #8905
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Latvala 2nd day with Juho Hanninen as co driver
https://twitter.com/Andrew_Eds/statu...21311824338944
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25th September 2018, 13:59 #8906
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25th September 2018, 14:07 #8907
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What are you on about? I quoted your original post which said "Weather in Wales has been poor since August after 3 months of hot and dry Summer.
It's gone into real Autumn weather already and no sign of it improving. Rally GB could be more like the traditional event of wet and windy"
I pulled you up because the forecast for when the rally is on says it will be bright, sunny spells, not the poor weather you claim. And regarding the 'no signs of improving' bit... the weather has been relatively dry and bright since you said there was no signs of it improving.
Were you just making something up to say, or did you you actually read a forecast?
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25th September 2018, 14:40 #8908
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#8 Ott Tänak - Martin Järveoja #8
- World Rally Champions 2019 -
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25th September 2018, 15:23 #8909
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25th September 2018, 15:34 #8910
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Neuville testing for Wales
https://twitter.com/TheMeirionEvans/...86383724040193
Fourmaux. Btw msport tested also hankook tyres https://youtu.be/DESKqpAqX5o?si=3uxWc8FrCUGMT0Pi https://youtu.be/sHetcbBQwKk?si=M7kq3bf2ar3Slhco
WRC Testing