Originally Posted by
meh
Thinking out loud ...
A list of competitors is not too wide in Rally1 or Rally2 but there some are interesting things to follow.
Rovanperä - can anyone beat him? He has declared Rally Estonia as his favourite rally. Without any technical problems/punctures, the only mission hardener can be if it will be too dry long time and it's too big disadvantage for being 1st on the road. It's quite long Friday.
Evans - can be a bit dark horse here. He showed good pace last year (6 stage wins, 10 times 2nd out of 24 stages), but he also has more bitter memories from Estonia - like huge crash from pre-event-test-rally and back-injury from one bad landing. But 2nd on the road is not helpful on friday.
Tänak - a lot of questions... but still really strong candidate for the win.
Neuville - he never liked rally Estonia or Finland, but 4th on the road on Friday can keep him in good distance. From pre-event interview before Safari, he admited that it's hard for him beat Rovanperä in Estonia and Finland. If he does not believe in himself, he can not do any good rally anyway.
Lappi - I would not be surprise if Lappi is going to win this one. He has adopted with Hyundai really well, he has the speed, he likes fast stuff and he has really good road position. In case Lappi is going to beat Neuville a lot in Estonia and in Finland, it may make team-dynamics interesting in Hyundai.
Katsuta - he kind of like fast stuff as well, but he need to finish.
Loubet - speed wise, probably slowest Rally1 driver this time and goal is to collect experience and stay on road.
Suninen - really good read position can make him "friday hero". If he can beat Neuville, it's probably hard for Neuville.
To conlcude that - I expect Rovanperä and Tänak as main fighters for the win, but most likely Lappi and maybe Evans are part of that as well.
Then comes Taka-Neuville-Suninen. Loubet can get places when something happens in front.