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We have finished the handful of pre-Europe races.
Assuming all the teams make it to 2011 I will say the following will not make it based on the first four races:
- de la Rosa (better than Kobayashi but will be 40 next year)
- Kobayashi
- Trulli (Kovalainen is solidly beating him atm)
- Schumacher (But hopefully he improves soon. Because there is something quite sad about a has-been)
Just a bit of speculation. :)
If I repeat if teams were dropping drivers after these 4 races I think the following would miss out on any 2011 seat.
Schumacher :(
Kobayashi :dozey:
Trulli? (Not sure but I think he may leave Lotus through frustration and may not get another drive). :eek:
Di Grassi (Too early to tell yet, but as I said above if on these 4 races).
Liuzzi - I can see di Resta in the Force India before 2011 (hopefully)
WT
De La Rosa doesn't seem happy. He was interviewed on Catalan TV3 just after his retirement, and he said that he was happy with his driving, but whatever way he said it, it seemed that he was saying "Well I'm doing MY job, now the team needs to do theirs." This is very unusual from him, he's always been very fair and diplomatic before as a commentator on Spanish Channel La Sexta. Maybe he let rip a little while speaking in Catalan...
schuie....
Nick Heildfeld!
He'll replace Schu for Germany onwards but not do enough to secure a seat for 2011 with Sutil replacing him at Merc.
Schumacher, alas :(
think its last chance saloon for;
Liuzzi
De La Rosa
Kobyashi might be lucky, the Torro Rosso boys will have to do something a little more to stay around.
MS - tough to call, think he will jump before he is pushed.
Trulli ought to be safe, think the 2 experienced drivers are exactly what a team like Lotus needs, and will still need next year
de la rosa
toro rosso guys, trulli, Liuzzi all might be out next year, but these are alot less predictable than what i expect will be the end of de la rosa's career after 2010. (at this rate he'll leave rather than get fired: those saubers are doing nothing-that's what you get from an entrant who was only confirmed in december, ex bmw or not)
I don't think Trulli will be pushed out after this season unless Fernandes thinks that they badly need local driver Fauzy in the race seat for marketing reasons.
I can't agree with Malllen that DLR is beating Kobayashi. Kobayashi has outqualified de la Rosa for the last two weekends and is gradually becoming more competitive. Kamui has also been plain unlucky to suffer car failures or unavoidable crashes in every single race so far.
Schumacher is a mystery - have no idea, what he, Brawn and Haug are thinking about the current situation now.
But the men in danger are:
- Liuzzi (di Resta is waiting...);
- Buemi (Ricciardo is waiting...);
- de la Rosa (not impossible that he might lose the drive already this season... Sauber needs cash and a paydriver, which have created some vague Maldonado-rumours);
And also a few drivers in the new teams - di Grassi if he fails to impress; Senna or Chandhok if HRT folds, changes ownership or finds other paydrivers with a fatter paycheque or better CV.
Luizzi has been fine until this weekend. In quali he got stuck in traffic and then just lost it on the first lap. I'd give a while before giving Di Resta his drive.
I think that the ones previously mentioned are the obvious ones, though personally I think that Trulli will still be around, Liuzzi and Kobayashi stand a reasonable chance.
I think there's an outside chance that we could lose Massa, Webber and Barrichello though, but I'm not expecting to lose them.
Micheal Schumacher
Not sure about that - he has been behind Sutil who doesn't seem to be getting the max out of the FI, but to be fair to him getting only half the Friday running is a major disadvantage for himQuote:
Originally Posted by Brown, Jon Brow
WT
Luizzi scored strong points in the first two races while Sutil was getting into accidents. Give him a fair chance.Quote:
Originally Posted by Wasted Talent
I don't know what the expectations of the team are, but I don't think either of the Toro Rosso drivers is all that impressive. Also, I'd say Pedro de la Rosa is showing to be past his "use by date".
As for Schumacher, true, he's just not driving up to expectations. But it's not like he's been a total flop. And given who he is, and what that means to the team (and the sponsors), I don't see a chance in hell of them dropping him. He might decide to walk away if things don't get better. But IMO, he won't be fired.
The other drivers with targets on their backs are any of the ride buyers, who begin causing more damage to equipment than their checks are covering. I really don't care too much for Petrov, but I think this weekend's excellent performance moved him away from that group.
That sums it up rather well.Quote:
Originally Posted by Jag_Warrior
The team is going to change the chassis - number 3 - he has been using all season from the Spanish Grand Prix onwards.Quote:
Originally Posted by jens
I can only presume that they have found some structural fault.
Changing chassis is SOP. They may have found a fault but I wouldn't be pinning my hopes on it. :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Saint Devote
Don't be so sure. There are plenty of corporate bigwigs in Daimler-Benz who not only don't like Mercedes' involvement as a full constructor from a cost point of view, given the dire economic situation, but who also may well raise a stink about the $20some Million paid to Schumi. At those kinds of salary levels it just won't cut it to make 1/5th of the points of your team mate who makes 1/10th of the pay (or whatever it is... I don't know what Rosberg makes... anyone?). For that kind of money, results are a must, or the corporates will grumble. Arguably, Heidfeld would have scored a bunch more points this season already... pure speculation of course, but I just have a hunch on that...Quote:
Originally Posted by Jag_Warrior
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robinho
good analysis
I think Trulli retires along with Rubens
MSC is a tough call. I thought he would shine in China given the conditions, but I think that he has not forgotten how to drive and the adjustment period to a different car, team management philosophy and a tough competition are proving a bit more difficult to get up to speed.
I think both STR guys are safe. As is kobayashi.
Liuzzi has diResta breathing down his neck and might actually might be in a ride share or completely out of the seat by year's end. I think he would still be in F1 in 2001, but probably not with Force India.
I don't see Schumacher getting fired , he brings quite a lot of publicity and sponsors to the team .... he might well decide to call it a day but I don't see him getting the boot...
I think Rubens , Trulli , PDLR are on the way out...most esp Trulli , who's brought nothing new and has long overstayed his welcome...
If MS is just as slow with the new chassis - he'll look a proper muppet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Sonic
Err... but wasn't Rosberg supposed to be the No.2 driver, who gets all the problems? :p : Looks like after the swap of numbers by demand of Schumacher Mercedes forgot to swap the inherent chassis problems! :p :Quote:
Originally Posted by Saint Devote
Plenty of corporate bigwigs within Daimler who don't support the F1 project? Who are they? How many are there? How do we know this for fact?Quote:
Originally Posted by maximilian
Unless one of them is Dieter Zetsche and he's leading that effort, I suggest the lieutenants get in line, lest they wind up "pursuing other opportunities, effective immediately."
Look, it's no secret that I don't like Schumacher. But considering who is he and what he has accomplished, unless he ends the year as a total flop, I don't think that a small cadre of junior VP's in Stuttgart has the power to send him packing. I think that if he's doing that badly by season's end, he'll leave on his own - the man does have pride and an ego to feed. As for Quick Nick scoring more points than Schumacher has thus far, that's pure speculation. That's possible. Just as it's possible that Timo Glock might have more points if he was there too. But unlike Schumacher, neither one of them has PROVEN that he can get the job done. I mean, there's a very good reason that both those guys are now B List drivers.
I can't believe that I'm here defending Schumacher! Surely the planets have gotten out of alignment or
something. :D
The obvious one is missing: Webbo.
Nah, the obvious one is Kimi.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dzeidzei
If somebody with the work ethic of Schumacher is struggling, imagine how a lazy work-shy driver would fail to cope.
Erich Klemm, employee representative on the Daimler board and chairman of its Corporate Works Council, who decried [MercedesGP's purchase of BrawnGP] as an unnecessary cost when money is tight and other automakers are withdrawing from the series. http://www.autoblog.com/2009/11/18/m...pelling-board/Quote:
Originally Posted by Jag_Warrior
He surely isn't the only one, given said withdrawal of Honda, Toyota, and half-Renault, and the recent losses by Mercedes. If the board were to not support it, there is only so much the Chair can do before facing too much criticism and/or being voted over or even out.
That's true, it is pure speculation on my part. They may be B-List drivers, but the point is, how long will there be corporate support to pay Schumacher AA+List money with C-List results? :DQuote:
Originally Posted by Jag_Warrior
Btw, I am not trying to malign him. I envisioned his comeback with Mercedes long before it became reality, and anticipated it with excitement, and I hope very much that it all comes together after all, for the sake of F1 and "my" car brand Mercedes. F1 with Schumacher challenging is a lot more exciting (love him or love to hate him, choose your side) than F1 with Schumacher putzing around in 10th place. :)
I am rather sure that the board will do something with the employee representative's opinion as it's not his money who they are spending.Quote:
Originally Posted by maximilian
If anyone on that board, who is against Mercedes being in F1, would have had the power you talk about they would have never bought out Brawn.
Skills and talent!!Quote:
Originally Posted by tamburello
i think Jarno Trulli will be replaced by mark
Sebastien Buemi will be replaced going on the way the work at toro rosso
Nah, he'll have a drive next year, but I doubt it'll be in a Red Bull.....Quote:
Originally Posted by Dzeidzei
Probably Schumacher. The old boy has been very dissapointing so far this season :(
Least Kimi had talent to win a WDC....same can't be said of Massa. Will Ferrari really replace him with Kubica?!?Quote:
Originally Posted by tamburello
Yup. It seeems likely that either Alonso or Massa will have to leave Ferrari after this year.Quote:
Originally Posted by I am evil Homer
So far I think that all the drivers have done a good job so far this year.
I'm sick of people slagging off Liuzzi for no reason. In the first two races he scored points while Sutil did nothing, and Tonio has been consistent and fast so far.
Schumacher has a three year deal which I can see him honouring, Kobayashi has only a handful of GPs to his name, the Toro Rosso boys have been fine, especially Jaime who has been great this year, and I see Trulli doing well when they sort the hydraulic issues at Lotus.
If we shall belive rumours, Pedro is a bit loose at the moment.