remember 2020. Evans had 14 point lead with only monza left to go but still lost the title by crashing out.
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Neuville has a long list of seemingly unnecessary (not under pressure) tarmac crashes.
Japan last year, Ypres and Croatia the year before++
Which is why I wonder if he tries to go a little bit safer.
He has had quite many of these ,,pointless'' crashes, but this year it seems to going his way and 29p lead is huge. He has managed it thru the whole season..
In CER, Neuville will probably drive conservative again, while Tanak will push, so I wouldn't be so sure that it will be easy for Neuville to outscore Tanak. He can't just cruise if he wants to stay in front of Tanak.
If Neuville really cruises in CER and loses quite some points, Ogier will be back in it and it will be very risky for Japan. If Neuville has a DNF for whatever reason, who can stop Ogier from bagging 30 points?
You all forgot how many times Tanak crashed, had technical issues, have something that ruined his chances. So he has the same chance to fail like Neuville. I'm just surprised that Ogier have so much mistakes, bad luck moments and flat tires this year. Like he never get all those in a whole career as this year altogether.
Yes, that's the key. If Tanak will make mistakes by pushing on asphalt, Neuville can outscore him. But if Tanak manages to keep it on the road while pushing, it will be hard for Neuville to beat him, unless he pushes too.
Ogier can also be considered lucky for not damaging the car too much or not getting it stuck somewhere after the roll in Acropolis, he got away with 13 points. Likewise, Sunday weather in Chile was favourable to him, no way he would have got 12 points if it was dry. It's thanks to those that he can still get the title, if Neuville has a Sunday problem.