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View Full Version : Weather Forecast for Subway Fresh Fit 600k Weekend



slorydn1
4th April 2010, 21:40
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.


This is a very long term forecast, Saturday nite is not available yet.

That said, the forecast looks absolutely beautiful :up:

slorydn1
5th April 2010, 20:25
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Friday: Sunny, with a high near 85.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.

slorydn1
5th April 2010, 22:07
000
Fxus65 Kpsr 051703
Afdpsr

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix Az
955 Am Mst Mon Apr 5 2010

.synopsis...
The Dry Southern End Of A Low Pressure System And Cold Front Moving
East Across Southern California Today Will Move East Across Arizona
Tonight. The Main Effect Of This System Will Be Windy Weather This
Afternoon Into This Evening With The Strongest Winds In Southeast
California And Southwest Arizona. It Will Also Be Cooler Today. High
Pressure Aloft Will Bring Warmer Weather Back To The Area Wednesday
With Significantly Warmer Weather Thursday And Little Change Friday.
Another Pacific Low Pressure System And Cold Front Are Expected To
Bring Cooler Weather Again By Early Next Week.

slorydn1
6th April 2010, 12:12
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 86.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

slorydn1
6th April 2010, 12:14
000
Fxus65 Kpsr 061034
Afdpsr

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix Az
330 Am Mst Tue Apr 6 2010

.synopsis...
Breezy To Locally Windy Conditions Can Be Expected This Afternoon As
The Dry Southern End Of A Low Pressure System Moves Across Arizona
Today. Anticipate A Bit Cooler Temperatures Over South-central
Arizona Today With Little Change Elsewhere. Breezy To Locally Windy
Conditions Will Continue Tuesday Night And Wednesday Morning Before
The Winds Decrease Significantly By Late Wednesday Afternoon. A Big
Warmup Is Expected Thursday With High Temperatures Climbing Several
Degrees Above Normal As High Pressure Moves Across The Area.
Anticipate Little Change Friday And Saturday. Early Next Week...a
Pacific Low Pressure System Will Lead To Windy Conditions And Much
Cooler Temperatures Along With A Slight Chance Of Showers.

&&

.discussion...
Upper Trough Axis Was Near 115w At 10z With A Short Wave Moving
Through The Bottom Of The Trough. This Has Kept West And Northwest
Winds Going All Night At Most Places. It Will Help Eastern Portions
Of The Forecast Area To See A Little Bit More Cooling. Northwest
And North Low Level Winds Will Strengthen Overnight Tuesday Night As
A Ridge Begins Building In Before The Trough Has A Chance To Get
Very Far East. As A Result...the Gradient Tightens. In Fact Both Nam
And Gfs Show A 10-12 Mb Slp Northerly Oriented Gradient Across
Arizona By 12z Wed. 925 And 850 Mb Are At Their Strongest At This
Point Followed By Weakening During The Day Wednesday. Advisory
Strength Winds Are A Possibility For The Lower Colorado River
Valley. However...mixing Will Be At A Low Point And Thus Reduce The
Surface Wind Potential. With Somewhat Slow Departure Of The
Trough...temps Will Not Shoot Up Wednesday. Instead...the Big Warmup
Takes Place Thursday With Max Temps Climbing Above Normal.

Anticipate A Fairly Flat Temp Trend Friday And Saturday As The Flow
Aloft Transitions From Zonal To Southwesterly. Models Are In Pretty
Good Agreement With The Development Of A Deep Trough Off The Pacific
Coast Over The Weekend. Gfs Has Trended Slower With The Onshore
Progression Of The System But Is Still In Pretty Good Agreement With
The Gfs Ensemble Mean. The Ecmwf Is Showing More Run To Run
Consistency With Timing But There Continues To Be Differences On
Intensity With The 00z Runs Depicting A Colder System Than The 12z
Runs. The Canadian Ensemble Mean Is Slower Than Both The Operational
Gfs And Ecmwf. The Development Of The Coastal Troughing Appears To
Be Part Of A Pattern Change Wherein The Coastal Region Is Bookended
By Ridges Upstream And Downstream. Given The Persistence Of The
Models Depicting A Change...nudged Up The Pops For The End Of The
Extended...but Staying Within Slight Chance Category. This Is
Because The Models Are Also Showing Rapid Weakening Of The Low As It
Moves Inland. Plus...climatology Becomes Less And Less Favorable For
Precip The Further We Advance Into April. There Is Considerably
Higher Confidence In Windy And Cooler Conditions Unfolding.

71Fan
7th April 2010, 01:24
Looking at the sat image at http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/showsat.php?wfo=vef&area=hurrpac&type=vis&size=8 it looks like it's going to be just fine for the race.

slorydn1
7th April 2010, 12:25
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 86. East northeast wind at 7 mph becoming south southeast.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 84.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

As you can see in the technical discussion below, the weather will be absolutely gorgeous this weekend, with no chance of rain until Monday :up:

slorydn1
7th April 2010, 12:27
000
Fxus65 Kpsr 071101
Afdpsr

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix Az
400 Am Mst Wed Apr 7 2010

.synopsis...
Breezy To Windy Conditions Can Be Expected Today With North And
Northeasterly Winds. High Pressure Aloft Will Result In
Significantly Warmer Weather Thursday With Little Change Friday And
This Coming Weekend. Very Dry Air Will Continue The Rest Of This
Week With Afternoon Humidity In The Single Digits. A Pacific Low
Pressure System And Cold Front Are Expected To Bring Breezy Weather
From The Southwest Sunday Afternoon And Evening...then Windy And
Cooler Weather Monday And Tuesday With A Slight Chance Of Showers.

&&

.discussion...
The Southwest Periphery Of The Upper Trough Lies Over Northern
Arizona Early This Morning. The Trough Will Be Moving From The
Rockies Onto The Plains Today As A Ridge Builds Over The West. Tight
Pressure Gradient Has Developed Overnight Over Arizona And Southern
California With A Surface High Centered Over The Northern Great
Basin. Strong North-northeasterly Low Level Winds Are Evident On The
Kyux Vad Wind Profile With 30 Kts At 2000 Ft Msl As Of 10z. Kiwa
Wind Profile Shows Considerably Lighter Winds. Due To Lack Of
Mixing...surface Winds Are Not Nearly As Strong. As The Upper Trough
Shifts Eastward Today...the Gradient Will Weaken. So We Will Avoid
Advisory Strength Winds. Breezy To Windy Conditions Can Be Expected
Much Of The Day With The Peak In Late Morning. Winds Will Be
Strongest In Southeast California And Southwest Arizona...especially
Along The Lower Colorado River Valley. Not Much Change In Temps
Today.

Main Jump In Temps Will Be Thursday With Highs On The Low Deserts In
The Mid To Late 80s. Anticipate Little Change Friday And Saturday.

An Approaching Low Pressure System Will Lead To Stronger Winds And
Slight Cooling...more Noticeably Over Southeast California. This
Will Be The Beginning Of A Pattern Change With Troughing Over The
West/coastal Region And Ridging Over The Eastern Conus. There Is
Basic Model To Model Agreement On The Timing Of The Trough Axis
Between The Gfs/ecwmf/canadian As The System Reaches The Coast. The
Latest Runs Show Less Rapid Weakening As The System Comes In
Compared To The Previous 00z Runs. However...the Models Are Trending
Toward A More Southerly Track. The Gfs And Ecmwf Diverge Quite A Bit
On The Character Of The System As It Moves Across With The Gfs
Depicting An Open Wave And The Ecmwf A Closed Low Centered South Of
The Mexican Border. Despite These Differences...it Appears The Main
Window Of Opportunity For Precip Will Be Monday And Monday Night.
The Ecmwf Is Slower To Exit And Depicts Moisture Lingering Through
Tuesday. Main Cool Down Will Be Monday. The Details Of How Things
Will Unfold Remain Fluid And Thus It Is Difficult To Have Any Higher
Confidence In Precip Than Slight Chance Category. Also...the Time Of
Year Makes It Less Likely For Systems To Be Precip Producers. Much
Higher Confidence In Much Cooler Temperatures Monday/tuesday.

slorydn1
9th April 2010, 00:28
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 86. East wind at 7 mph becoming southwest.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southwest wind between 5 and 9 mph.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind between 7 and 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 8 and 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.


Still no real change, gonna be beautiful, maybe a little breezy during the cup race

slorydn1
10th April 2010, 00:19
no change in the forecast for phoenix for all the races, some concerns about wind during the cup race, but that's it.... :D