Weather Forecast for Richmond Weekend

[slorydn1]

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Southwest wind between 8 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Saturday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 7 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Looks like a crappy weather weekend

[Sparky1329]

Bummer. Thanks, slo.

[slorydn1]

Today: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Southwest wind between 15 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Southwest wind between 9 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 60. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 77. East wind at 9 mph becoming southwest. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

[slorydn1]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
647 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2009

.SYNOPSIS.
A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE TROUGHS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY...STALLING OUT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH EARLY NEXT WEEK.


.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MORNING SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT LIFTING OFF TO THE NE
THROUGH CENTRAL VA TOWARDS THE DELMARVA. SOUTHERLY FLOW NOW
INCREASING BEHIND THE WARM FRONT...AND TEMPS HAVE RISEN INTO THE
60S DURING THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS. DEWPOINTS ALSO RISING
FROM THE LWR 50S EARLIER...NOW INTO THE LWR 60S. AKQ RADAR SHOWING
ISLD/SCT -SHRA MOVING TO THE NE ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE CWA...IN
THE VCNTY OF THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

EXPECT A WARM AND BREEZY DAY TODAY (WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH BY
THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON) UNDER STRONG SW FLOW. HIGH
TEMPS WILL SOAR BACK INTO THE UPR 70S TO LWR 80S (WOULD BE EVEN
WARMER BUT A MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY WILL KEEP TEMPS IN CHECK).

MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY LOCATED BACK OVER
EASTERN KY/TN WILL CONTINUE TO TREK TO THE E. REGIONAL RADAR AND
SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FIRING UP ALONG
THIS IMPULSE...WHICH WILL MOVE INTO OUR AREA LATER THIS MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY INCREASES DURING PEAK DAYTIME
SFC HEATING (LAPSE RATES WILL INCREASE AND ML CAPE WILL ALSO BE
500-1000 J/KG). SPC HAS ACCORDINGLY PLACED US IN A `SEE TEXT`
HIGHLIGHTED AREA...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE TS POSSIBLE (MAIN THREATS
BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL). THE INHIBITING FACTOR FOR
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER.

HAVE 20-30% POPS THIS MORNING EXTENDING N OF A LINE FROM ABOUT EMV
NORTHEAST TO MFV...INCREASING TO 30-40% THIS AFTERNOON THOSE SAME
AREAS...AND 20-30% SOUTHEAST OF THERE INTO HAMPTON ROADS AND
NORTHEAST NC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
THE FIRST DISTURBANCE PUSHES OFF THE COAST AROUND SUNSET...BRINGING
AN END TO PRECIP/TS CHANCES BY LATE EVENING. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL SKIRT ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF OUR CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT INTO EARLY SAT...AND WILL KEEP 20-30% POPS IN PLACE FOR
THOSE AREAS. LOW TEMPS WILL BE WARM WITH PLENTY OF LINGERING LLVL
MOISTURE IN PLACE AND CONTINUED SW FLOW...UPR 50S N/NW TO MID 60S
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE ALBERMARLE SOUND.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST SAT MORNING...DROPPING
INTO CENTRAL VIRGINIA BY SAT AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE
UPR 70S TO LWR 80S AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN
ALL AREAS AS THE FRONT MOVES CLOSER...ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF TS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS (A MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S...AND LAPSE RATES WILL RISE BY THE
AFTERNOON WITH PEAK DAYTIME SFC HEATING). SPC HAS ONCE AGAIN
PLACED OUR AREA UNDER `SEE TEXT` FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
SEVERE TS (MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS). SEVERE THREAT
DIMINISHES AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. LOW
TEMPS SAT NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPR 50S N/NW TO MID 60S FAR SE.

THE COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY STALL OUT OVER SRN PORTIONS OF OUR
AREA THROUGH SUNDAY...AND WILL KEEP THE ENTIRE CWA UNDER 30-40%
POPS. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE A BIT COOLER WITH A THICKER CLOUD DECK IN
PLACE (ESPECIALLY NRN HALF)...MID 70S N TO NEAR 80 S (A BIT COOLER
ACROSS THE LWR MD/VA ERN SHORE WITH S FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC/BAY).

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WENT CLSR TO THE ECMWF MDL FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD. FRNTL BNDRY
LAYING NEAR THE VA/NC BORDER SUN NGT INTO MON MORNG...WILL LIFT N
THRU THE AREA DURING MON INTO TUE MORNG. THE BNDRY WILL THEN LIFT
WELL N OF THE REGION TUE...WITH HI PRES RDG THEN BLDNG OFF THE MID
ATLC CST FOR LATER TUE THRU THU. WILL HAVE SLGT TO SML CHC POPS FOR
SHRAS OR TSRAS FOR SUN NGT THRU TUE...DUE TO PROXIMITY OF WRM FRNTL
BNDRY. HIER CHCS MAINLY ACRS NRN CNTIES. NO MENTION OF POPS FOR WED
AND THU...AS HI PRES OFF THE MID ATLC CST SHUD PROVIDE JUST PRTLY OR
MSTLY SNY AND WRM CONDS.

MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FM THE UPR 60S TO NR 80 ON MON...RANGE THRU THE
70S TO LWR 80S TUE...AND IN THE UPR 70S TO MID 80S WED AND THU. MIN
TEMPS WILL RANGE THRU THE 50S TO LWR 60S MON MORNG...IN THE MID 50S
TO MID 60S TUE MORNG...AND IN THE UPR 50S TO MID 60S WED AND THU
MORNGS.

[slorydn1]

Today: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. West wind between 5 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 60. North wind between 5 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 70. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Monday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. North wind at 7 mph becoming southeast. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Its not looking real good the rest of the weekend, unfourtunately. Its nice and sunny there this am (I'm watching the 10am Nascar Now on ESPN2) but starting from 1pm on thinks could start to deteriorate rapidly.

I have added the forecast thru tuesday, If needed.....

[slorydn1]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1013 AM EDT SAT MAY 2 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY...THEN STALL ACROSS
SOUTHERN VIRGINA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SEVERAL AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY BEFORE IT MOVES BACK NORTH AS A
WARM FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SFC CDFNT CONTINUES A SLOW SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT INTO CWA THIS
MORNING. FRONT ROUGHLY FROM A KSBY TO KLKU LINE AT 14Z. FNT HAS
MOVED LITTLE LAST 2-3 HOURS ACROSS THE NW PTNS OF CWA...BUT HAS
CONTINUED SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE DELMARVA. THIS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH PREVIOUS FCST AND LATEST RUC.

TRENDS SEEN YESTERDAY WITH PRECIP WEAKENING AS IT MOVE EWD TOWARD
REGION SEEM TO BE CONTINUING THIS MORNING. HAVE WATCHES A COUPLE
OF DIFFERENT BANDS OF SHOWERS MOVE INTO/TOWARD CWA...AND SLOWLY
WEAKEN/DSIPT AS THEY MOVE EAST. IN ADDITION...12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW
MARGINAL INSTBY AT BEST OVER CWA...AND 12Z RUC AGREES WITH THIS AS
WELL. LATEST SWODY1 LESS BULLISH ON SVR ACRS CWA...WITH COVERAGE
NO BETTER THAN ISOLD EXPECTED. GIVEN ABOVE...AND TRENDS SEEN IN
LATEST RUC...HAVE LOWERED POPS TO 50 PCT THROUGH 00Z.

WIDESPREAD DENSE HI CLDS SHOULD HELP PUT A CAP ON MAX TEMPS...AND
CURRENT FORECAST TEMPS APPEAR TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY ALONG BNDRY WILL LIKELY EXIST THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HRS ON SUNDAY AND ALTHOUGH TS ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE AFTER
MIDNIGHT...POPS REMAIN IN THE HIGH-END CHANCE TO LIKELY CATEGORY
THROUGH SUNRISE WITH BNDRY STILL HANGING OUT OVER THE AREA AND
PW`S WELL OVER 1.5 INCHES.

BNDRY REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN VA ON SUNDAY AND WHILE POPS ARE A NEAR
REPEAT OF SATURDAY...SVR THREAT SHOULD BE LOWER DUE TO ONLY
MARGINAL INSTABILITY (CAPES ONLY ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG). WINDS
WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER IN THE LOW LVLS HOWEVER...SO GUSTY WINDS
POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER SHRA/TS ACTIVITY.

BNDRY SHIFTS SLIGHTLY NW-WARD EARLY MONDAY SO ABLE TO GO WITH JUST
CHANCE POPS THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. A MORE POTENT LOW MVG ALONG
THE FRONT AND INTO CNTRL VA LATE MON WILL PUSH IT BACK INTO THE
AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FRNTL BNDRY SLOWLY MVS THROUGH CNTRL PORTIONS OF THE CWA MON NIGHT
INTO TUES...THEN STALLS OVER NE NC BY WED MORNING...LIFTING BACK
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY.